Стр. 26
Finding 2: Based on an analysis of reported surface-toair attacks against civil aviation flights for the period of | There were five occurrences, depicted in red in Figure |
Figure 14
Altitude Distribution
SAM attack Other than SAM attack
MH17: как и кто? |
Привет, Гость! Войдите или зарегистрируйтесь.
Вы здесь » MH17: как и кто? » Суд » Закрытие воздушного пространства.
Стр. 26
Finding 2: Based on an analysis of reported surface-toair attacks against civil aviation flights for the period of | There were five occurrences, depicted in red in Figure |
Figure 14
Altitude Distribution
SAM attack Other than SAM attack
Стр.27
for studying the security risk for aircraft at a cruising level | (older versions of MANPADS with less than current frontline capability, for example). |
Table 3
Unintentional Acts and Their Context
11-Jun-87 | Afghanistan | Misidentified as a Russian IL14. | Bakhtar Afghan | Hezb-i-Islami | n/k | 53/2/0 |
03-Jul-88 | Iran | Military misidentified target as | Iran Air | U.S. Navy | 13,500 ft | 290/0/0 |
29-Aug-99 | Ethiopia | Military targeting error after | Corporate Jets | Ethiopian Army | FL 410 | 2/0/0 |
04-Oct-01 | Black Sea | Military exercise missile | Sibir Airlines | Ukraine Armed | FL 360 | 78/0/0 |
26-Jan-15 | Iraq | Probably accidental, rounds | FlyDubai | n/k | <2,000 ft | 0/2/X |
08-Jan-20 | Iran | Military misidentified aircraft | Ukraine | Iranian Armed | 8,100 ft | 176/0/0 |
04-May-20 | Somalia | Military misidentified goingaround aircraft as a suicide plane. | Ethiopian | 2.230 ft | 6/0/0 | |
25-May-20 | Somalia | Military misidentified aircraft | Aeronav/Kenya | Ethiopian | <1,200 ft | 0/0/X |
AMISOM = African Union Mission to Somalia; n/k = not known; NOTAM = notice to airmen
Стр.28
4. Conflict Zones Analysis: 1990–2014
4.1. Purpose of the Conflict Zones Analysis | • Slovenia, 1991. |
Стр.29
by at least one party in the conflict. This could | I. Known intent to attack: |
Стр.30
or NOTAM warnings are issued. Operators will balance | FL 250, then there is no need to analyse the other indicators, and the likelihood of attack there can be considered |
Стр.31
Table 4
Overview of the Conflict Zone Analysis
No information Command and control factors
High likelihood indication Risk factors for an unintentional attack
Medium likelihood indication Capability to attack
Low likelihood indication Intent to attack
Overall indication of
likelihood of attack
above FL 250
A.
Parties
B.
Armed
conflict
scale and/or
tensions
H.
SAM
operators’
experience
and chain of
command
C.
Military air
transport
activities
J.
Civil aircraft
operations
(with
airspace
restrictions)
D.
Military
air combat
activities
G.
Capability to
differentiate
between civil
and military
aircraft
F.
Capability
to attack by
at least one
party
E.
Known
attacks
I.
Known
intent to
attack (civil a/c)
Airspace
Restrictions
above FL 250
With actual (civil a/c)
airspace
restrictions
Without
airspace
restrictions
Bosnian war 1992-1997 Others’ restrictions
Croatian war 1991-1995 Partially restricted
Democratic Republic of the Congo No restriction
Egypt (Sinai) No restrictions
Georgia-Russia 2008 No restriction
Iraq war 1991 Others’ restrictions
Iraq war 2003-2011 Others’ restrictions
Kosovo, Allied Force 1999 Others’ restrictions
Libya 2011 Others’ restrictions
Slovenia 1991 Restricted
Afghanistan 2001- present No restrictions
Armenia Azerbaijan Restricted
Ivory Coast 2002-2004 No restriction
Indonesia (Aceh) 1990-1998 No restriction
Mali 2012-2015 No restriction
Georgian civil wars 1991-93 No restriction
Стр.32
with air-to-air unintentional attack is assessed as medium and the likelihood of attack with long range SAMs is | Finding 4: The analysis of selected conflict zones over Текст
Figure 16 Текст
|
Стр.33
population rather than the security of the civil aviation. Indeed, looking at the publicly available sources, U.N. Security | Figure 17 Текст
likelihood of attack against civil aviation was reduced |
Стр.34
5. Airspace Restrictions Over and Around Eastern Ukraine
5.1. Objectives of the Airspace Restrictions Analysis | is an airspace of defined dimensions within which flight |
Стр.35
NOTAMs. AIPs are generally used for information of | system provided by their company to provide access only |
Стр.36.
the NOTAM. For example, “4820N03716E119” identifies a | The search of NOTAMs for the studied period identified 291 NOTAMs for the Dnepropetrovsk UKDV FIR. |
Стр.37
5.6. Ukraine Airspace Restrictions Timeline
5.6.1. NOTAM A0820/14, Issued on 24 April 2014
NOTAM content and illustration map
A0820/14 NOTAMN Restrictions |
Note: The Illustration is approximate
Стр.38
5.6.2. NOTAM A0942/14, Issued on 05 May 2014
NOTAM content and illustration map
A0942/14 NOTAMN Restrictions |
Note: The Illustration is approximate
Стр.39
5.6.3. NOTAM A1219/14, Issued on 02 June 2014
NOTAM content and illustration map
A1219/14 NOTAMN Restrictions |
Note: The Illustration is approximate
Стр.40
5.6.4. NOTAM A1229/14, Issued on 03 June 2014
NOTAM content and illustration map
A1229/14 NOTAMN Restrictions |
Note: The Illustration is approximate
Стр.41
5.6.5. NOTAM A1231/14, Issued on 04 June 2014
NOTAM content and illustration map
A1231/14 NOTAMN Restrictions |
Note: The Illustration is approximate
Стр.42
5.6.6. NOTAM A1234/14, Issued on 04 June 2014
NOTAM content and illustration map
A1234/14 NOTAMN Restrictions |
Note: The Illustration is approximate
Стр.43
5.6.7. NOTAM A1236/14, Issued on 04 June 2014
NOTAM content and illustration map
A1236/14 NOTAMR A1231/14 Restrictions |
Note: The Illustration is approximate
Стр.44
5.6.8. NOTAM A1255/14, Issued on 05 June 2014
NOTAM content and illustration map
A1255/14 NOTAMN Restrictions |
Note: The Illustration is approximate
Стр.45
5.6.9. NOTAM A1256/14, Issued on 05 June 2014
NOTAM content and illustration map
A1256/14 NOTAMN Restrictions |
Note: The Illustration is approximate
Стр.46
5.6.10. NOTAM A1383/14, Issued on 26 June 2014
NOTAM content and illustration map
A1383/14 NOTAMN Restrictions |
Note: The Illustration is approximate
Стр.47
5.6.11. NOTAM A1384/14, Issued on 26 June 2014
NOTAM content and illustration map
A1384/14 NOTAMN Restrictions |
Note: The Illustration is approximate
Стр.48
5.6.12. NOTAM A1492/14, Issued on 14 July 2014
NOTAM content and illustration map
A1492/14 NOTAMN Restrictions |
Note: The Illustration is approximate
Стр.49
5.6.13. NOTAM A1493/14, Issued on 14 July 2014
NOTAM content and illustration map
A1493/14 NOTAMN Restrictions |
Note: The Illustration is approximate
Стр.50
5.6.14. NOTAM A1507/14, Issued on 17 July 2014 after the Downing of Flight MH17
NOTAM content and illustration map
A1507/14 NOTAM Restrictions |
Note: The Illustration is approximate
Стр.51
5.6.15. NOTAM A1517/14, Issued on 17 July 2014 after the Downing of Flight MH17
NOTAM content and illustration map
A1517/14 NOTAM Restrictions |
Note: The Illustration is approximate
Стр.52
5.7. Russian Federation Airspace Restrictions Timeline
5.7.1. NOTAM V6158/14, Issued on 17 July 2014
NOTAM content and illustration map
V6158/14 NOTAMN |
Note: The Illustration is approximate
Restrictions | (RND), G118 LATRI - BAGAYEVSKIY NDB |
Стр.53
direct to THEN DCT KONSTANTINOVSK | As provided in reference [3] about the information in |
[3] International Civil Aviation Organisation, Doc 10066
“Procedures for Air Navigation Services, Aeronautical
Information Management,” First Edition 2018, Montreal, Canada
[4] International Civil Aviation Organisation, Doc 8126
“Aeronautical Information Services Manual,” Sixth
Edition 2003, Montreal, Canada
Стр.54
5.7.2. NOTAM A2681/14, Issued on 16 July 2014
NOTAM content and illustration map
A2681/14 NOTAMN |
Note: The Illustration is approximate
Restrictions | MOROZOVSK VOR/DME (MOR) - BUTRI - |
Стр.55
5.8. Summary of the Airspace Restriction Timeline | validity, reference to the restriction it imposes and the upper and lower limits of the restriction. Additionally, in the |
Table 5
NOTAM Restrictions Timeline
ATS = air traffic services; FL = flight level; n/k = not known; NOTAM = notice to airmen; UTC = coordinated universal time
Вы здесь » MH17: как и кто? » Суд » Закрытие воздушного пространства.