MH17: êàê è êòî?

Èíôîðìàöèÿ î ïîëüçîâàòåëå

Ïðèâåò, Ãîñòü! Âîéäèòå èëè çàðåãèñòðèðóéòåñü.


Âû çäåñü » MH17: êàê è êòî? » Ñóä » Çàêðûòèå âîçäóøíîãî ïðîñòðàíñòâà.


Çàêðûòèå âîçäóøíîãî ïðîñòðàíñòâà.

Ñîîáùåíèé 121 ñòðàíèöà 150 èç 188

121

Ñòð.116

Afghanistan 2001–present
Likelihood of attack indicators

A. Parties:
1. Conflict between states.
2. Conflict between non-state armed groups and
state(s) or civil wars.
3. Conflict between non-state armed groups

Conflict between non-state armed groups and state(s) or civil wars.

B. Armed conflict scale and/or tensions:
1. Terrorism and/or international political tension.
2. Insurgency (small-scale military activities) and/
or medium increasing political tension.
3. Large-scale military activities and/or
heightened international political tension.

Insurgency (small-scale military activities) and/or medium increasing
political tension.

C. Military air transport activities:
1. Military air transport activities not reported.
2. Occasional use of aircraft to transport ground
troops or military equipment.
3. More than occasional use of aircraft to transport
ground troops or military equipment by at least
one party)

More than occasional use of aircraft to transport ground troops or military
equipment by at least one party).

D. Military air combat activities:
1. No military air combat activities.
2. Small-scale (occasional) military air combat
activities and/or some activities above FL 250.
3. Large- to medium-scale military air combat
activities and/or regular activities above FL 250

Small-scale (occasional) military air combat activities and/or some activities
above FL 250.

E. Known attacks:
1. Conflict area without publicly reported security
incidents involving military and civil aviation.
2. Conflict area with single security-related
reported incident/accident involving military
(or civil) aviation.
3. Conflict area with multiple reported securityrelated incident/accident involving military (or
civil) aviation.

Conflict area with multiple reported security-related incident/accident
involving military (or civil) aviation.

F. Capability to attack by at least one party:
1. No information for capability to attack with
range above FL 250.
2. Air-to-air missiles launched from fighter aircraft
(and no SAMs).
3. Long-range surface-to-air missiles (SAMs) that
can hit an aircraft at cruising level.

Air-to-air missiles launched from fighter aircraft (and no SAMs).
Afghan fighter presence 1989-2001, anti-aircraft artillery (AAA) capable of
reaching cruising levels and MANPADS that, because of the specific high terrain,
could reach cruising altitudes as well.
2001 — Coalition fighter presence.

G. Capability to differentiate between civil and
military aircraft:
1. Differentiation supported by radar, electronic
identification and non-cooperative target
recognition systems measuring signature using
acoustic and thermal radiation, radio emissions,
radar techniques.
2. Differentiation supported by radar and
electronic identification (e.g., identification,
friend or foe (IFF), secondary surveillance radar
(SSR).
3. Differentiation supported only by radar tracks.

Differentiation supported by radar, electronic identification and noncooperative target recognition systems measuring signature using acoustic
and thermal radiation, radio. (Applicable only to coalition forces)
CAUTION: Use of MANPADS and AAA by insurgent or irregular forces
limited to visual differentiation

122

Ñòð.117

Afghanistan 2001–present (continued)

H. SAM/AAM operators’ experience and chain of
command:
1. Regular forces.
2. SAMs in the possession of irregular military
forces OR an absence of robust SAM/AAM
command and control procedures for
authorizing launch.
3. SAMs in the possession of irregular military
forces AND an absence of robust SAM/
AAM command and control procedures for
authorizing launch.

SAMs in the possession of irregular military forces AND an absence of
robust SAM/AAM command and control procedures for authorizing launch
Residual Strela and Stinger MANPADS, plus possible AAA.

I. Known intent to attack:
1. Known intent to attack military aircraft.
2. Known intent to attack civil aircraft.
3. Communication of intent and a plan to attack
civil aircraft or actual attack against civil aircraft.

Known intent to attack military aircraft.
Known intent to attack civil aircraft.
Multiple engagements by Pakistan forces of Afghan aircraft straying into northern
Pakistan airspace during late 1980s.
https://www.nytimes.com/1988/11/22/worl … istan.html
Multiple engagements of military traffic by irregular forces within Afghanistan
during Russian occupation up to 1989.
Multiple low-altitude engagements by irregular forces since 2001

J. Civil aircraft operations over or close to conflict
zone (with and without the airspace restrictions
if any):
1. No or occasional traffic.
2. Small to moderate traffic volume (for example
restricted to arrivals and departures to airports).
3. Considerable traffic volume, including
international overflights.

Considerable traffic volume, including international overflights.

Airspace Closure

Airspace restrictions
Describes when airspace restrictions were introduced,
what airspace they affected and how they evolved
over time including:
• Restrictions by the responsible for the airspace
sovereign authority (the state).
• Restrictions by others — third parties and/or
neighboring states.

1. Restrictions by the responsible for the airspace sovereign authority (the
state)
No information found
2. Others
No information found
Note:
No formal airspace closures. Area was voluntarily avoided by civil traffic during
Soviet occupation. Coalition air ops from 2001
India permanent NOTAM dated 3 Apr 2001, overflight of Taliban-held territory
prohibited, traffic would be denied future access to Indian airspace. Still valid. (VI
G0047/01)
Extant overflight warnings by NOTAM from USA,UK, France, Germany, advising
min altitude 25,000 AGL, (FL330 for USA and Germany) https://www.easa.europa.
eu/domains/air-operations/czibs/czib-2017-08r5

Reasons for airspace restrictions
Describes the reasons for airspace restrictions,
weapons known to be in the area and their range/
capabilities, what traffic was vulnerable, known or
suspected intent to attack civil aviation and whether
there was concern about unintentional attack.

Presence of anti-aviation weapons within Kabul FIR. USA NOTAM references
potential for engagement by certain MANPADS below FL 330.

Decision-making
Describes the source(s) of the threat information;
who made the decision regarding the restrictions and
with whom was the decision coordinated; was the
decision-making process different from the normal or
standard airspace decision-making process.

National advisories only. Standard decision-making from appropriate
national authorities.
No warnings issued by Afghan government.

123

Ñòð.118

Afghanistan 2001–present (continued)

Promulgation
Describes how the restrictions were published,
number of the NOTAMs if available, AIS.

NOTAM, AIS. Germany NOTAM: B0437/20. USA A0038/20. UK AIP ENR 1.4.5 valid
from 8 Oct 2015 https://www.aurora.nats.co.uk/htmlAIP/P … s/2018-11-
08-AIRAC/html/eAIP/EG-ENR-1.1-en-GB.html

Notes
Other relevant information

References:
Jaffe S., Airspace Closure and Civil Aviation, 2015

124

Ñòð.119

Armenia Azerbaijan
Likelihood of attack indicators

A. Parties:
1. Conflict between states.
2. Conflict between non-state armed groups and
state(s) or civil wars.
3. Conflict between non-state armed groups

Conflict between states.
Conflict between non-state armed groups and state(s) or civil wars.
After the 2016 Armenian–Azerbaijani clashes, in which an estimated 350 troops
and civilians from both sides were killed, Azerbaijan declared a unilateral cease
fire (the clashes started when Azerbaijani forces launched strikes to regain control
of territory controlled by the Armenia-backed breakaway Nagorno-Karabakh.)
The two countries are still technically at war and the Azerbaijani government
regularly threatens to retake Nagorno-Karabakh by military force
The Four-Day War, or April War, began along the Nagorno-Karabakh line of
contact on 1 April 2016 with the Nagorno-Karabakh Defense Army, backed by
the Armenian Armed Forces, on one side and the Azerbaijani Armed Forces on the
other.
The clashes have been defined as “the worst” since the 1994 ceasefire agreement
signed by Nagorno-Karabakh, Azerbaijan and Armenia.

B. Armed conflict scale and/or tensions:
1. Terrorism and/or international political tension.
2. Insurgency (small-scale military activities) and/
or medium increasing political tension.
3. Large-scale military activities and/or
heightened international political tension.

Large-scale military activities and/or heightened international political
tension.

C. Military air transport activities:
1. Military air transport activities not reported.
2. Occasional use of aircraft to transport ground
troops or military equipment.
3. More than occasional use of aircraft to transport
ground troops or military equipment by at least
one party)

More than occasional use of aircraft to transport ground troops or military
equipment by at least one party (such aircraft may be more difficult to
distinguish from civil aircraft, particularly where operating near airways
and close to civil aircraft cruising altitudes).
The scale of the military actions, the number of forces and combat equipment
involved, such as heavy artillery, including use of cluster munition, tanks, air
forces and suicide drones, as well as the statements of Azerbaijani officials
clearly indicate that the events of 2–5 April were not a spontaneous escalation,
but a carefully planned and prepared military operation, aimed at resolving the
Karabakh conflict by the use of force.

D. Military air combat activities:
1. No military air combat activities.
2. Small-scale (occasional) military air combat
activities and/or some activities above FL 250.
3. Large- to medium-scale military air combat
activities and/or regular activities above FL 250

Small-scale military air combat activities.

E. Known attacks:
1. Conflict area without publicly reported security
incidents involving military and civil aviation.
2. Conflict area with single security-related
reported incident/accident involving military
(or civil) aviation.
3. Conflict area with multiple reported securityrelated incident/accident involving military (or
civil) aviation.

Conflict area with multiple reported security-related incident/accident
involving military (or civil) aviation.
February 2017 — Fighting flares up in Nagorno-Karabakh between the
Azerbaijani army and ethnic Armenian troops along the line separating them.
Azerbaijan’s air force was composed of 45 combat aircraft which were often
piloted by experienced Russian and Ukrainian mercenaries from the former Soviet
military. They flew mission sorties over Karabakh with such sophisticated jets as
the MiG-25 and Sukhoi Su-24 and with older-generation Soviet fighter bombers,
such as the MiG-21.
Several were shot down over the city by Armenian forces and according to one of
the pilots’ commanders, with assistance provided by the Russians. Many of these
pilots risked the threat of execution by Armenian forces if they were shot down.
The setup of the defense system severely hampered Azerbaijan’s ability to carry
out and launch more air strikes.
Azerbaijani fighter jets attacked civilian airplanes too. An Armenian civil aviation
Yak-40 plane traveling from Stepanakert airport to Yerevan with total of 34
passengers and crew was attacked by an Azerbaijani SU-25. Though suffering
engine failure and a fire in rear of the plane, it eventually made a safe landing in
Armenian territory

125

Ñòð.120

Armenia Azerbaijan (continued)

F. Capability to attack by at least one party:
1. No information for capability to attack with
range above FL 250.
2. Air-to-air missiles launched from fighter aircraft
(and no SAMs).
3. Long-range surface-to-air missiles (SAMs) that
can hit an aircraft at cruising level.

Long-range surface-to-air missiles (SAMs) that can hit an aircraft at cruising
altitude.
Azerbaijani MiG-25 was shot down near Cherban on 20 August 1992 by an SA-7A
MANPADS.
Azerbaijani Su-22 was shot down on 19 February 1994 over Verdenisskiy by an SA-
14 MANPADS.
Azerbaijani Su-25 flown by Kurbanov was shot down over Mkhrdag on 13 June
1992 by a MANPADS.
Azerbaijani Su-25 shot down near Malibeili on 10 October 1992 using MANPADS.
Azerbaijan: BUK SAM, S-300PMU2, Perchora-T 2M SAM
Armenia: BUK, OSA, Pechora-T2M, 2K11Krug, SA-13 Gopher, KUB-M-3, S-300PS,
S-300PT-1

G. Capability to differentiate between civil and
military aircraft:
1. Differentiation supported by radar, electronic
identification and non-cooperative target
recognition systems measuring signature using
acoustic and thermal radiation, radio emissions,
radar techniques.
2. Differentiation supported by radar and electronic identification (e.g., identification, friend
or foe (IFF), secondary surveillance radar (SSR).
3. Differentiation supported only by radar tracks.

Differentiation supported by radar and electronic identification (e.g.,
identification, friend or foe (IFF), secondary surveillance radar (SSR).

H. SAM/AAM operators’ experience and chain of
command:
1. Regular forces.
2. SAMs in the possession of irregular military
forces OR an absence of robust SAM/AAM
command and control procedures for
authorizing launch.
3. SAMs in the possession of irregular military
forces AND an absence of robust SAM/
AAM command and control procedures for
authorizing launch.

Regular forces.
Azerbaijan’s Defense Ministry said its forces on May 15, 2017 “destroyed an Osa
air defense system along with its crew.” The ministry added that the system’s
deployment near the line of control was a “provocation” and a threat to
Azerbaijani aircraft.
All versions of the 9K33 feature all-in-one 9A33 transporter erector launcher and
radar (TELAR) vehicles which can detect, track and engage aircraft independently
or with the aid of regimental surveillance radars. The six-wheeled transport
vehicles BAZ-5937 are fully amphibious and air transportable. The road range is
about 500 km.

I. Known intent to attack:
1. Known intent to attack military aircraft.
2. Known intent to attack civil aircraft.
3. Communication of intent and a plan to attack
civil aircraft or actual attack against civil aircraft.

Communication of intent and a plan to attack civil aircraft or actual attack
against civil aircraft — reference 1991 hostile events sample.

J. Civil aircraft operations over or close to conflict
zone (with and without the airspace restrictions
if any):
1. No or occasional traffic.
2. Small to moderate traffic volume (for example
restricted to arrivals and departures to airports).
3. Considerable traffic volume, including
international overflights.

No traffic after the restrictions.
Moderate traffic volume, mainly restricted to arrivals and departures to
airports prior to the restrictions.

Airspace Closure

Airspace restrictions
Describes when airspace restrictions were introduced,
what airspace they affected and how they evolved
over time including:
• Restrictions by the responsible for the airspace
sovereign authority (the state).
• Restrictions by others — third parties and/or
neighboring states.

1. Restrictions by the responsible for the airspace sovereign authority (the
state)
Restricted
A0024/11 NOTAMN Q) UBBA/QRPXX/IV/NBO/W /000/999/3936N04642E045
A) UBBA B) 1102111240 C) PERM E) ACCORDING TO AIP OF AZERBAIJAN
REPUBLIC REF.ENR 5.1 DUE TO CONFLICT SITUATION THE PROHIBITED AREA
UBP3 GND/UNL IS ESTABLISHED OVER THE TERRITORY OF THE NAGORNY
KARABAKH AND CONTROLLED BY THE MINISTRY OF DEFENSE OF THE
REPUBLIC OF AZERBAIJAN. INTERCEPTION OF OFFENDERS BY THE AIR FORSE
IS MANDATORY ACTION F) GND G) UNL

126

Ñòð.121

Armenia Azerbaijan (continued)

Reasons for airspace restrictions
Describes the reasons for airspace restrictions,
weapons known to be in the area and their range/
capabilities, what traffic was vulnerable, known or
suspected intent to attack civil aviation and whether
there was concern about unintentional attack.

Conflict

Decision-making
Describes the source(s) of the threat information;
who made the decision regarding the restrictions and
with whom was the decision coordinated; was the
decision-making process different from the normal or
standard airspace decision-making process.

Promulgation
Describes how the restrictions were published,
number of the NOTAMs if available, AIS.

ICAO NOTAM A0024/11 NOTAMN Q) UBBA/QRPXX/IV/NBO/W
/000/999/3936N04642E045

Notes
Other relevant information

References:
wikipedia.org. wikipedia.org/wiki/missile_system
Wordpress.com Russian supplied defense systems
Hoge, James F. (2010). The Clash of Civilizations: The Debate. Council on Foreign
Relations,
Eastern Europe, Russia and Central Asia. London: Europa Publications. 2002. p.
77., cfr.org

127

Ñòð.122

Ivory Coast 2002–2004
Likelihood of attack indicators

A. Parties:
1. Conflict between states.
2. Conflict between non-state armed groups and
state(s) or civil wars.
3. Conflict between non-state armed groups.

Conflict between non-state armed groups and state(s) or civil wars.
Official government forces, the National Army (FANCI), also called loyalists,
formed and equipped essentially since 2003.
Mercenaries recruited by president Gbagbo:
• Belarusian pilots;
• Former combatants of Liberia, including under-17 youths, forming the so-called
“Lima militia”;
• New Forces (Forces Nouvelles, FN), ex-northern rebels;
• Liberian government forces;
• French military forces: troops sent within the framework of Operation Unicorn
and under UN mandate (UNOCI);
• Soldiers of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), White
helmets, also under the UN;
• NATO forces.

B. Armed conflict scale and/or tensions:
1. Terrorism and/or international political tension.
2. Insurgency (small-scale military activities) and/
or medium increasing political tension.
3. Large-scale military activities and/or
heightened international political tension.

Insurgency or small-scale military activities.
Mutiny in Abidjan by soldiers unhappy at being demobilized grows into full-scale
rebellion, with Ivory Coast Patriotic Movement rebels seizing control of the north.
They launched attacks in many cities, including Abidjan. Attacks were launched
almost simultaneously in most major cities; the government forces maintained
control of Abidjan and the south, but the new rebel forces had taken the north
and based themselves in Bouake. Particular importance for the case study is the
2004 French–Ivorian clashes that represent air-to-air capability to attack.

C. Military air transport activities:
1. Military air transport activities not reported.
2. Occasional use of aircraft to transport ground
troops or military equipment.
3. More than occasional use of aircraft to transport
ground troops or military equipment by at least
one party).

More than occasional use of aircraft to transport ground troops or military
equipment by at least one party (such aircraft may be more difficult to
distinguish from civil aircraft, particularly where operating near airways
and close to civil aircraft cruising altitudes).
Evidence of NATO and French mobilized and airborne force movement and
deployments.

D. Military air combat activities:
1. No military air combat activities.
2. Small-scale (occasional) military air combat
activities and/or some activities above FL 250.
3. Large- to medium-scale military air combat
activities and/or regular activities above FL 250

Small-scale (occasional) military air combat activities.
Military combat activities involving multiple regional parties and NATO.
French forces conducted attacks on airports destroying SU25s and helicopters are
shot down.

E. Known attacks:
1. Conflict area without publicly reported security
incidents involving military and civil aviation.
2. Conflict area with single security-related
reported incident/accident involving military
(or civil) aviation.
3. Conflict area with multiple reported securityrelated incident/accident involving military (or
civil) aviation.

Conflict area with multiple reported security-related incidents/accidents
involving military (or civil) aviation.
On 4 November 2004, Gbagbo ordered the counter-offensive to the rebel town of
Bouaké to be backed by air strikes. France does not react but on 5 November put
three Dassault Mirage F.1 jet fighters based in nearby Gabon on standby.
On 6 November, two Ivorian Sukhoi Su-25 bombers, crewed by two Belarusian
mercenaries and two Ivorian pilots, fired on the Ivorian rebels led by Issiaka
Ouattara. One of the bombers attacked the French peacekeeping position in
the town at 1 pm, killing nine French soldiers and wounding 31. The Ivorian
government claimed the attack on the French was unintentional, but the French
insisted that the attack had been deliberate

F. Capability to attack by at least one party:
1. No information for capability to attack with
range above FL 250.
2. Air-to-air missiles launched from fighter aircraft
(and no SAMs).
3. Long-range surface-to-air missiles (SAMs) that
can hit an aircraft at cruising level.

Air-to-air missiles launched from fighter aircraft (and no SAMs)

128

Ñòð.123

Ivory Coast 2002–2004 (continued)

G. Capability to differentiate between civil and
military aircraft:
1. Differentiation supported by radar, electronic
identification and non-cooperative target
recognition systems measuring signature using
acoustic and thermal radiation, radio emissions,
radar techniques.
2. Differentiation supported by radar and
electronic identification (e.g., identification,
friend or foe (IFF), secondary surveillance radar
(SSR).
3. Differentiation supported only by radar tracks

Differentiation supported by radar and electronic identification (e.g.,
identification, friend or foe (IFF), secondary surveillance radar (SSR).

H. SAM/AAM operators’ experience and chain of
command:
1. Regular forces.
2. SAMs in the possession of irregular military
forces OR an absence of robust SAM/AAM
command and control procedures for
authorizing launch.
3. SAMs in the possession of irregular military
forces AND an absence of robust SAM/
AAM command and control procedures for
authorizing launch.

Regular forces.

I. Known intent to attack:
1. Known intent to attack military aircraft.
2. Known intent to attack civil aircraft.
3. Communication of intent and a plan to attack
civil aircraft or actual attack against civil aircraft

Known intent to attack military aircraft.

J. Civil aircraft operations over or close to conflict
zone (with and without the airspace restrictions
if any):
1. No or occasional traffic.
2. Small to moderate traffic volume (for example
restricted to arrivals and departures to airports).
3. Considerable traffic volume, including
international overflights.

Moderate traffic volume, mainly restricted to arrivals and departures to
airports prior to the restrictions.

Airspace Closure

Airspace restrictions
Describes when airspace restrictions were introduced,
what airspace they affected and how they evolved
over time including:
• Restrictions by the responsible for the airspace
sovereign authority (the state).
• Restrictions by others — third parties and/or
neighboring states.

1. Restrictions by the responsible for the airspace sovereign authority (the
state)
No information found
2. Others
No information found
Note:
Airport closures likely during raids

Reasons for airspace restrictions
Describes the reasons for airspace restrictions,
weapons known to be in the area and their range/
capabilities, what traffic was vulnerable, known or
suspected intent to attack civil aviation and whether
there was concern about unintentional attack

Decision-making
Describes the source(s) of the threat information;
who made the decision regarding the restrictions and
with whom was the decision coordinated; was the
decision-making process different from the normal or
standard airspace decision-making process.

State authorities and on-site commanders had the authority to make
assessments and decisions regarding military threats.

129

Ñòð.124

Promulgation
Describes how the restrictions were published,
number of the NOTAMs if available, AIS.

No evidence of airspace closures or restrictions other than those cited for Port
Bouët Airport.

Notes
Other relevant information

References:
Cote d’Ivoire, since 2002.” Acig.org.
Civil War in Côte d Ivoire (Ivory Coast Civil War).” The Polynational War
Memorial, wwwwar-memorial.net. Retrieved 5 June 2017.
Asante, Molefi Kete (2014). The History of Africa: The Quest for Eternal Harmony.
New York and London: Routledge.
State.gov

130

Ñòð.125

Indonesia (Aceh) 1990–1998
Likelihood of attack indicators

A. Parties:
1. Conflict between states.
2. Conflict between non-state armed groups and
state(s) or civil wars.
3. Conflict between non-state armed groups.

Conflict between non-state armed groups and state(s) or civil wars.
Conflict was between the separatist Free Aceh Movement (GAM), which wanted
autonomy, and the Indonesian state, which wanted centralized control.
Separatist struggle waged for more than 30 years. After a period of dormancy,
GAM re-emerged in the late 1980s, after sending combatants to Libya for training,
by attacking police stations and military installations.

B. Armed conflict scale and/or tensions:
1. Terrorism and/or international political tension.
2. Insurgency (small-scale military activities) and/
or medium increasing political tension.
3. Large-scale military activities and/or
heightened international political tension.

Insurgency or small-scale military activities.
In 1989, Jakarta responded to the expansion of GAM (some of the guerrillas were
trained in Lybia) by launching a large-scale counter insurgency campaign. Aceh
was officially transformed into a ‘Military Operations Area’ (Daerah Operasi
Militer, DOM), widely understood as the imposition of martial law, for the next
decade. Some scholars, however, question whether the DOM designation is
correct. Unclear how many Indonesian troops were stationed in Aceh during
DOM, but most sources estimate that about 12,000 security forces personnel were
involved.
DOM formally lifted in 1998.

C. Military air transport activities:
1. Military air transport activities not reported.
2. Occasional use of aircraft to transport ground
troops or military equipment.
3. More than occasional use of aircraft to transport
ground troops or military equipment by at least
one party).

Occasional use of aircraft to transport ground troops or military
equipment.
Indonesian Air Force, as of 2002, contained two squadrons of C-130s, a number
of small transport and rotary-wing aircraft; and three Boeing 737s used for sea
surveillance.

D. Military air combat activities:
1. No military air combat activities.
2. Small-scale (occasional) military air combat
activities and/or some activities above FL 250.
3. Large- to medium-scale military air combat
activities and/or regular activities above FL 250

Small-scale (occasional) military air combat activities and/or some activities
above FL 250.
Indonesian Air Force operated a mix of Western- and Russian-built aircraft,
including F-5s, F-16s and Su-30s.
No information could be found on extent to which these and other combat
aircraft were used.

E. Known attacks:
1. Conflict area without publicly reported security
incidents involving military and civil aviation.
2. Conflict area with single security-related
reported incident/accident involving military
(or civil) aviation.
3. Conflict area with multiple reported securityrelated incident/accident involving military (or
civil) aviation.

Conflict area without publicly reported security incidents involving military
and civil aviation.
Low-flying Indonesian military helicopters and fixed-wing observation planes
likely would have been GAM targets, but no incidents uncovered during research.
Military or civil aircraft operating at cruise altitude would have been out of the
reach of insurgent weapons.

F. Capability to attack by at least one party:
1. No information for capability to attack with
range above FL 250.
2. Air-to-air missiles launched from fighter aircraft
(and no SAMs).
3. Long-range surface-to-air missiles (SAMs) that
can hit an aircraft at cruising level.

Air-to-air missiles launched from fighter aircraft (and no SAMs).
Heaviest weapons GAM rebels possessed were grenade launches and MANPADS
Indonesian military has a mix of Western- and Soviet/Russian-made weapons
systems, including naval vessels with SAMs and combat aircraft with air-to-air
and air-to-ground attack capability.

G. Capability to differentiate between civil and
military aircraft:
1. Differentiation supported by radar, electronic
identification and non-cooperative target
recognition systems measuring signature using
acoustic and thermal radiation, radio emissions,
radar techniques.
2. Differentiation supported by radar and electronic identification (e.g., identification, friend
or foe (IFF), secondary surveillance radar (SSR).
3. Differentiation supported only by radar tracks.

No sufficient information
Indonesian military and civil authorities have ability to differentiate. No indication
that GAM could differentiate.

131

Ñòð.126

Indonesia (Aceh) 1990–1998 (continued)

H. SAM/AAM operators’ experience and chain of
command:
1. Regular forces.
2. SAMs in the possession of irregular military
forces OR an absence of robust SAM/AAM
command and control procedures for
authorizing launch.
3. SAMs in the possession of irregular military
forces AND an absence of robust SAM/
AAM command and control procedures for
authorizing launch.

Regular forces.
Indonesia has traditional military command structure.
GAM rebels were irregular forces with some training from Libya.

I. Known intent to attack:
1. Known intent to attack military aircraft.
2. Known intent to attack civil aircraft.
3. Communication of intent and a plan to attack
civil aircraft or actual attack against civil aircraft

Known intent to attack military aircraft.
In 2000, which is two years after the period in review, two chartered aircraft
carrying oil field workers were hit by small arms fire, including one aircraft that
was hit while it was taxiing, resulting in two injuries.

J. Civil aircraft operations over or close to conflict
zone (with and without the airspace restrictions
if any):
1. No or occasional traffic.
2. Small to moderate traffic volume (for example
restricted to arrivals and departures to airports).
3. Considerable traffic volume, including
international overflights.

Considerable traffic volume, including international overflights.
Because of the number of islands in the Indonesian archipelago, the country
has a well-developed and busy air transport system. Its proximity to Singapore
and Malaysia, both of which have a lot of aviation traffic, and its location in a
fast-growing region of the world result in a great deal of traffic. Indonesia tightly
controls overflights.

Airspace Closure

Airspace restrictions
Describes when airspace restrictions were introduced,
what airspace they affected and how they evolved
over time including:
• Restrictions by the responsible for the airspace
sovereign authority (the state).
• Restrictions by others — third parties and/or
neighboring states

1. Restrictions by the responsible for the airspace sovereign authority (the
state)
No information found
2. Others
No information found

Reasons for airspace restrictions
Describes the reasons for airspace restrictions,
weapons known to be in the area and their range/
capabilities, what traffic was vulnerable, known or
suspected intent to attack civil aviation and whether
there was concern about unintentional attack.

Decision-making
Describes the source(s) of the threat information;
who made the decision regarding the restrictions and
with whom was the decision coordinated; was the
decision-making process different from the normal or
standard airspace decision-making process

Information on decision-making during this period was not available, but
generally speaking it is a process complicated by the proximity of Singapore and
Malaysia and the high level of air traffic in the region. According to at least one
document, Indonesia’s military pilots must seek clearance from ATC at Singapore’s
Changi Airport before taking off on training flights. There is tension between
Singapore and Indonesia over FIRs and control of sovereign airspace.

Promulgation
Describes how the restrictions were published,
number of the NOTAMs if available, AIS.

132

Ñòð.127

Indonesia (Aceh) 1990–1998 (continued)

Notes
Other relevant information

References:
Miller, Michelle Ann. “The Conflict in Aceh: context precursors and catalysts,”
Accord 20, p. 12–15.
Pan, Esther, Backgrounder, “Indonesia: The Aceh Peace Agreement,” last updated
15 Sept. 2005.
Rabasa, Angel and Haseman, John, The Military and Democracy in Indonesia:
Challenges, Politics and Power, Rand National Security Research Division, 2002.
Schulze, Kirsten E., The Free Aceh Movement: Anatomy of a Separatist
Organization, Policy Studies 2, East-West Center, ISBN 1-932728-03-1 (online
version), 2004.
Developing Countries Studies Center, “Singapore FIR Takeover Plan: Avoid the
1995 Experience,” accessed 12 June 2020.

133

Ñòð.128

Mali 2012–2015
Likelihood of attack indicators

A. Parties:
1. Conflict between states.
2. Conflict between non-state armed groups and
state(s) or civil wars.
3. Conflict between non-state armed groups.

Conflict between non-state armed groups and state(s) or civil wars.
In January 2012 the Northern Mali Conflict or Mali Civil War started when
several insurgent groups (mainly MNLA [National Movement for the Liberation
of Azawad] and Ansar Dine) began fighting against the Malian government for
independence for north Mali. On 5 April the MNLA proclaimed the independence
of northern Mali from the rest of the country. However, by 17 July 2012, the MNLA
had lost control of most of northern Mali’s cities. The government of Mali asked
for foreign military help to re-take the north. On 11 January 2013, the French
military began operations against the Islamists. Forces from other African Union
states were deployed shortly after. By 8 February, the Islamist-held territory had
been re-taken by the Malian military, with help from the international coalition.
However, attacks against the Malian military continued until a peace deal
between the government and Tuareg rebels was signed on 18 June 2013. On
26 September 2013 the rebels pulled out of the peace agreement and fighting
continued. Despite a peace accord was signed on 15 April 2015, low-level fighting
continues.

B. Armed conflict scale and/or tensions:
1. Terrorism and/or international political tension.
2. Insurgency (small-scale military activities) and/
or medium increasing political tension.
3. Large-scale military activities and/or
heightened international political tension.

Insurgency (small-scale military activities) and/or medium increasing
political tension.
French military intervention: Operation Serval from 11 January 2013 till 15 July
2014.
US forces arrived in Niger in early 2013 to support the French military intervention
in Mali; 150 US personnel set up a surveillance drone operation over Mali that
was conducted out of Niamey. As of 2017, there are about 800 US troops in Niger,
the majority of whom are construction crews working to build up a second drone
base in northern Niger.

C. Military air transport activities:
1. Military air transport activities not reported.
2. Occasional use of aircraft to transport ground
troops or military equipment.
3. More than occasional use of aircraft to transport
ground troops or military equipment by at least
one party)

More than occasional use of aircraft to transport ground troops or military
equipment

D. Military air combat activities:
1. No military air combat activities.
2. Small-scale (occasional) military air combat
activities and/or some activities above FL 250.
3. Large- to medium-scale military air combat
activities and/or regular activities above FL 250

Small-scale (occasional) military air combat activities and/or some activities
above FL 250.

E. Known attacks:
1. Conflict area without publicly reported security
incidents involving military and civil aviation.
2. Conflict area with single security-related
reported incident/accident involving military
(or civil) aviation.
3. Conflict area with multiple reported securityrelated incident/accident involving military (or
civil) aviation.

Conflict area with multiple reported security-related incidents/accidents
involving military (or civil) aviation.
In January one Malian Air Force MIG-21 jet was shot down by the Tuareg.
On 11 January 2013, a French Army Gazelle helicopter was shot down by small
arms fire.

F. Capability to attack by at least one party:
1. No information for capability to attack with
range above FL 250.
2. Air-to-air missiles launched from fighter aircraft
(and no SAMs).
3. Long-range surface-to-air missiles (SAMs) that
can hit an aircraft at cruising level.

Air-to-air missiles launched from fighter aircraft (and no SAMs).

134

Ñòð.129

Mali 2012–2015 (continued)

G. Capability to differentiate between civil and
military aircraft:
1. Differentiation supported by radar, electronic
identification and non-cooperative target
recognition systems measuring signature using
acoustic and thermal radiation, radio emissions,
radar techniques.
2. Differentiation supported by radar and
electronic identification (e.g., identification,
friend or foe (IFF), secondary surveillance radar
(SSR).
3. Differentiation supported only by radar tracks.

Differentiation — fighter jets.

H. SAM/AAM operators’ experience and chain of
command:
1. Regular forces.
2. SAMs in the possession of irregular military
forces OR an absence of robust SAM/AAM
command and control procedures for
authorizing launch.
3. SAMs in the possession of irregular military
forces AND an absence of robust SAM/
AAM command and control procedures for
authorizing launch.

Regular forces.

I. Known intent to attack:
1. Known intent to attack military aircraft.
2. Known intent to attack civil aircraft.
3. Communication of intent and a plan to attack
civil aircraft or actual attack against civil aircraft.

Known intent to attack military aircraft.

J. Civil aircraft operations over or close to conflict
zone (with and without the airspace restrictions
if any):
1. No or occasional traffic.
2. Small to moderate traffic volume (for example
restricted to arrivals and departures to airports).
3. Considerable traffic volume, including
international overflights.

Small to moderate traffic volume (for example restricted to arrivals and
departures to airports).

135

Ñòð.130

Mali 2012–2015 (continued)
Airspace Closure

Airspace restrictions
Describes when airspace restrictions were introduced,
what airspace they affected and how they evolved
over time including:
• Restrictions by the responsible for the airspace
sovereign authority (the state).
• Restrictions by others — third parties and/or
neighboring states.

1. Restrictions by the responsible for the airspace sovereign authority (the
state)
No information found
2. Others
No information found
Note:
27/02/2017 The Algerian CAA has published in 2012 airspace closures along their
southern border due to the conflict.
FAA (27/02/2017)
Feb 27th, 2017: The FAA issued warnings for Kenyan and Malian airspace, warning
US operators of the potential dangers in operating through both the Nairobi and
Malian FIR’s.
Published on Feb 26th, the new advice also adds new language with clarification
of the type of weapons and phases of flight that the FAA is concerned about,
specifically:
• fire from small arms,
• indirect fire weapons (such as mortars and rockets), and
• anti-aircraft weapons such as MANPADS.
The scenarios considered highest risk include:
• landings and takeoffs,
• low altitudes, and
• aircraft on the ground.
The FAA uses the same wording for both Kenya and Mali.
The updated guidance is intended for US operators and FAA License holder.
Warnings are addressing flights below FL300/2607250
2017 (referring to EASA CZIB No 2017-01R1 and FAA warning
EASA 29/04/2020–31/1072020
This CZIB was issued on the basis of information available to EU Member States
and EU institutions.
The presence of terrorist groups with access to anti-aviation weaponry is assessed
to pose a HIGH risk to operations within the portion of the Niamey FIR, which is
situated above Mali territory, at altitudes below FL 250. Terrorist groups continue
attacks on the country with the risk of mortar shelling on airstrips and airports.
Additionally, the Agency draws the attention of the aviation community to the
above referenced information, copies of which are attached to this CZIB.
France (AIC 08/20) 09/04/2020–ongoing
From 09/04/2020 and until further notice, French air carriers and aircraft owners
registered in France are requested to ensure that their aircraft maintain at all
times a flight level above or equal to FL320 in the part of the Niamey FIR (DRRR)
located above the Malian territory

Reasons for airspace restrictions
Describes the reasons for airspace restrictions,
weapons known to be in the area and their range/
capabilities, what traffic was vulnerable, known or
suspected intent to attack civil aviation and whether
there was concern about unintentional attack.

Rebels were expected to possess MANPADS
With instability in the Sahel-Saharan region, fears were growing al-Qaeda in the
Islamic Maghreb’s (AQIM) could have acquired portable surface-to-missiles from
Libya.

Decision-making
Describes the source(s) of the threat information;
who made the decision regarding the restrictions and
with whom was the decision coordinated; was the
decision-making process different from the normal or
standard airspace decision-making process.

Promulgation
Describes how the restrictions were published,
number of the NOTAMs if available, AIS.

AIC, warnings by FAA, EASA CZIB

136

137

Ñòð.132

Georgian Civil Wars 1991–1993
Likelihood of attack indicators

A. Parties:
1. Conflict between states.
2. Conflict between non-state armed groups and
state(s) or civil wars.
3. Conflict between non-state armed groups.

Conflict between non-state armed groups and state(s) or civil wars.
Conflict involved multiple players during the period in question; first it involved
the newly independent state of Georgia against separatists from South Ossetia,
which had previously declared itself an autonomous Soviet Republic. A three-way
power struggle involving Georgian, Ossetian and Soviet military forces broke
out. The first democratically elected president of Georgia lost power in a coup;
his armed attempts to regain power were later defeated. Also during this time,
separatists from the Abkhasia region, with help from Russian troops, fought
against Georgia.

B. Armed conflict scale and/or tensions:
1. Terrorism and/or international political tension.
2. Insurgency (small-scale military activities) and/
or medium increasing political tension.
3. Large-scale military activities and/or
heightened international political tension.

Large-scale military activities and/or heightened international political
tension.
Armed conflict involved multiple players, including Russia, and military
equipment left over from the Soviet military

C. Military air transport activities:
1. Military air transport activities not reported.
2. Occasional use of aircraft to transport ground
troops or military equipment.
3. More than occasional use of aircraft to transport
ground troops or military equipment by at least
one party).

More than occasional use of aircraft to transport ground troops or military
equipment by at least one party.

D. Military air combat activities:
1. No military air combat activities.
2. Small-scale (occasional) military air combat
activities and/or some activities above FL 250.
3. Large- to medium-scale military air combat
activities and/or regular activities above FL 250

Large- to medium-scale military air combat activities and/or regular
activities above FL 250
Georgian Su-25s flew more than 200 sorties during conflict in Abkhazia region.
Helicopters also were used extensively.

E. Known attacks:
1. Conflict area without publicly reported security
incidents involving military and civil aviation.
2. Conflict area with single security-related
reported incident/accident involving military
(or civil) aviation.
3. Conflict area with multiple reported securityrelated incident/accident involving military (or
civil) aviation.

Conflict area with multiple reported security-related incidents/accidents
involving military (or civil) aviation.
A number of military aircraft, including both fighters and helicopters, were shot
down during the conflicts.
Two civil type aircraft, a Tu-134 and a Tu-154, also were attacked on consecutive
days in Sept. 1993, resulting in 135 fatalities.

F. Capability to attack by at least one party:
1. No information for capability to attack with
range above FL 250.
2. Air-to-air missiles launched from fighter aircraft
(and no SAMs).
3. Long-range surface-to-air missiles (SAMs) that
can hit an aircraft at cruising level.

Long-range surface-to-air missiles (SAMs) that can hit an aircraft at cruising
level.
Long-range SAMs were in the Georgian arsenal and Georgian military aircraft
were brought down by what are believed to have been SAMs, leading to
speculation that Russian military units were supporting separatists.

G. Capability to differentiate between civil and
military aircraft:
1. Differentiation supported by radar, electronic
identification and non-cooperative target
recognition systems measuring signature using
acoustic and thermal radiation, radio emissions,
radar techniques.
2. Differentiation supported by radar and
electronic identification (e.g., identification,
friend or foe (IFF), secondary surveillance radar
(SSR).
3. Differentiation supported only by radar tracks.

138

Ñòð.133

Georgian civil wars 1991–1993 (continued)

H. SAM/AAM operators’ experience and chain of
command:
1. Regular forces.
2. SAMs in the possession of irregular military
forces OR an absence of robust SAM/AAM
command and control procedures for
authorizing launch.
3. SAMs in the possession of irregular military
forces AND an absence of robust SAM/
AAM command and control procedures for
authorizing launch

Regular forces
SAMs also possibly in the possession of irregular forces and/or irregular forces
supported by regular forces.

I. Known intent to attack:
1. Known intent to attack military aircraft.
2. Known intent to attack civil aircraft.
3. Communication of intent and a plan to attack
civil aircraft or actual attack against civil aircraft.

Communication of intent and a plan to attack civil aircraft or actual attack
against civil aircraft.
A Tu-134 and a Tu-154 in flight were attacked by separatists in Sept. 1993 resulting
in 135 fatalities.

J. Civil aircraft operations over or close to conflict
zone (with and without the airspace restrictions
if any):
1. No or occasional traffic.
2. Small to moderate traffic volume (for example
restricted to arrivals and departures to airports).
3. Considerable traffic volume, including
international overflights.

Small to moderate traffic volume (for example restricted to arrivals and
departures to airports).

Airspace Closure

Airspace restrictions
Describes when airspace restrictions were introduced,
what airspace they affected and how they evolved
over time including:
• Restrictions by the responsible for the airspace
sovereign authority (the state).
• Restrictions by others — third parties and/or
neighboring states.

1. Restrictions by the responsible for the airspace sovereign authority (the
state)
No information found
2. Others
Note:
During the period there were civil aircraft shot down in the airspace over
Abkhazia.

Reasons for airspace restrictions
Describes the reasons for airspace restrictions,
weapons known to be in the area and their range/
capabilities, what traffic was vulnerable, known or
suspected intent to attack civil aviation and whether
there was concern about unintentional attack.

No information available.

Decision-making
Describes the source(s) of the threat information;
who made the decision regarding the restrictions and
with whom was the decision coordinated; was the
decision-making process different from the normal or
standard airspace decision-making process.

No information available.

Promulgation
Describes how the restrictions were published,
number of the NOTAMs if available, AIS.

No information available.

Notes
Other relevant information

References:
Web.archive.org
U.S. Institute of Peace, The Intra-Georgian civil war and The Georgian-Abkhas
conflict, accessed June 2020.

139

Ñòð.134
Appendix B
Questionnaire Responses:
Russian Federation standard procedures and threat knowledge


This appendix contains the responses received from the Russian Federation to standard procedures and threat knowledge questionnaire. The responses are provided as received without additional editing or modification. Note: Unofficial
translation from Russian.
Q1. Is information in social media used as a trigger for security threat analysis for civil aviation, including information about capability of attack and/or intend to attack civil aircraft?

Answer:
Analysis of flight safety threats is carried out on the basis
of ICAO documents which address flight safety in the areas of military and other kinds of danger for civil aviation,
including ICAO Doc 9554.
Responsible:
Competent authorities that exchange information related
to aviation security.
References:
Aeronautical Information Services Manual, ICAO Doc
8126, Sixth Edition, 2003.
Manual Concerning Safety Measures relating to Military
Activities Potentially Hazardous to Civil Aircraft Operations, ICAO Doc 9554, First Edition 1990.
Air Traffic Services Planning Manual, ICAO Doc 9426,
First Edition (Provisional), 1984.
Process and timeline:
Preparations for activities that pose a potential hazard to
civil aircraft over the territory of states or the open sea are
coordinated with relevant competent air traffic service
authorities. This coordination is carried out sufficiently
in advance to ensure timely publication of information
concerning such activities in accordance with existing
regulations.
Such coordination is aimed at providing optimal conditions that will allow to avoid the creation of hazards for
civil aircraft and minimize interference with the normal
conduction of flights by such aircraft. If activities that
pose a potential hazard to civil aircraft are conducted on
a regular or ongoing basis, special committees should be
established, as appropriate, to ensure the necessary coordination of the needs of all stakeholders.
States should make preparations, if necessary, to ensure
that timely action is taken in case of unforeseen circumstances. Such preparations should include a risk assessment to civil aircraft due to a military conflict or acts of
unlawful interference with civil aviation. Preparatory activities should include development of special contingency

plans in case of natural disasters, public health emergencies, military conflicts or acts of unlawful interference in
the activities of civil aviation, which may affect the use of
airspace for flights of civil aircraft and/or provision of air
traffic services and support services.
Authorized air traffic service bodies organize and
implement close cooperation with the military authorized
bodies responsible for activities that may affect the flights
of civil aircraft. Air traffic service authorities and relevant
military authorities reach an agreement regarding the
immediate exchange of information related to the safe and
unhindered performance of civil aircraft flights.
Based on the information available, the state responsible
for air traffic service should determine the geographic
area of the conflict, assess the danger or potential danger
to civil aircraft of international aviation and determine
whether to avoid flights in or through the conflict area or
whether flights may continue under certain conditions.
Thereafter, an international NOTAM containing necessary
information, recommendations and security measures
to be taken should be issued; it should be updated as
events evolve.
In general, planning is a dynamic process in which facts
are identified, existing or newly proposed methods are
checked and information is sought. It is also an ongoing
process that requires insight, imagination and courage to
interpret existing data and to develop concepts in order to
prove and defend one’s beliefs. […] Due attention should
also be paid to the often conflicting requirements with
regard to special military flights and allocation of some
airspace for national security.
Actual implementation:
Describe here what social media civil aviation threat
information about presence of air defense equipment or
intent to attack was identified by which authority.
Information is used in accordance with ICAO rules.
Changes after 17 July 2014:
The use of Doc 10084 “Risk Assessment Manual for Civil
Aircraft Operations Over or Near Conflict Zones.”

140

Ñòð.135

Q2. What are the sources of public and private threat information and the processes for gathering information relative to civil aviation security (including in a conflict zone)?

Answer:
The source selection process is described in ICAO documents. Recommended procedures with regard to collection and use of information on threats originating from
armed conflict zones are discussed in ICAO Doc 9554.
The threats to air traffic safety in the Rostov-on-Don
FIR originated from hazardous activities in the area of
responsibility of the adjacent Dnepropetrovsk FIR. There
were no armed conflicts within Rostov-on-Don flight
information region (FIR).
Responsible:
Competent authorities that exchange information related
to aviation security.
References:
Aeronautical Information Services Manual, ICAO Doc
8126, Sixth Edition, 2003.
Manual Concerning Safety Measures relating to Military
Activities Potentially Hazardous to Civil Aircraft Operations, ICAO Doc 9554, First Edition 1990.
Air Traffic Services Planning Manual, ICAO Doc 9426,
First Edition (Provisional), 1984.
Process and timeline:
The final DSB report does not contain analysis of the
extent to which Ukraine’s actions met the ICAO standards.
It only contains a reference to the fact that “the initiative
to restrict airspace use originated from the military authorities” and that “based on Ukrainian legislation, there
were no grounds for full closure of the airspace above the

eastern part of Ukraine to civil aviation” (paragraphs 6.2
and 6.3 of the final DSB report).
When taking a decision to issue NOTAMs V6158/14
and A2681/14 on 16 July, 2014, Rosaviatsiya used information provided by the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs,
according to which it was possible to conclude that the
rules for the use of airspace of the Russian Federation had
been violated:
a) Shooting at checkpoint Gukovo with missiles also
hitting the nearby populated areas in the territory
of the Russian Federation (statement No. 1570 of 28
June 2014);
b) Another shooting at checkpoint Gukovo (statement
No. 1678 of 10 July 2014);
c) The Ukrainian Army shelled Donetsk, in the Rostov
Region, using high-explosive shells, a missile hit a residential house, one person died (statement No.1688 of
13 July 2014).
Actual implementation:
Describe here what other sources of civil aviation threat
information about presence of air defense equipment
and intent to attack was identified by which authority.
Information about the presence of air defense systems in
the region should have been provided by the competent
authorities of Ukraine on whose territory an armed conflict took place. Information on the required actions on
the Ukrainian part can be found in the answer to Q1.
Changes after 17 July 2014:
Based on the available reliable information, the Russian
side issued NOTAMs V6158/14 and A2681/14 to provide
secure flights within Rostov-on-Don FIR.

141

Ñòð.136

Q3. What is the level of involvement of airlines, air navigation service providers (ANSPs), the military and adjacent states or other states publishing advisories in gathering information about aviation security (including
information for conflict zones)?

Answer:
The source selection process is described in ICAO documents. Recommended procedures with regard to collection and use of information on threats originating from
armed conflict zones are discussed in ICAO Doc 9554.
Information on the basis for the issuance of NOTAMs
V6158/14 and A2681/14 is contained in the answer to Q2.
Responsible:
The competent authorities and the procedure for their
interaction are considered in ICAO documents (references
to some documents are given below).
References:
Aeronautical Information Services Manual, ICAO Doc
8126, Sixth Edition, 2003.
Manual Concerning Safety Measures relating to Military
Activities Potentially Hazardous to Civil Aircraft Operations, ICAO Doc 9554, First Edition 1990.
Air Traffic Services Planning Manual, ICAO Doc 9426,
First Edition (Provisional), 1984.
Process and timeline:
Airlines, military or other organizations were not involved
in the issuance of NOTAMs V6158/14 and A2681/14.

Rosaviatsiya practices to release urgent information
reports and instructions for the Russian exploiters of
aircraft in case of receiving information on the military
activity hazardous to flight safety. For instance, Rosaviatsiya’s telegrams containing information on tense situation in
India’s, Pakistan’s and Afghanistan’s airspace (information
of 27 February 2019), hazardous situation to flight safety
in Yemen’s airspace (information of 3 April 2015), and in
Libya’s airspace (information of 2 February 2015).
Actual implementation:
Describe specifically what airlines, air navigation
service provider (ANSP), the military and adjacent
states or other states publishing advisories were used
as a source for what information about security risk for
civil aircraft.
Information provided by the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs was used to issue NOTAMs V6158/14 and
A2681/14 (See the answer to Q2).
Changes after 17 July 2014:
Issuance of NOTAMs V6158/14 and A2681/14 due to
reasons mentioned in the answer to Q2.

142

Ñòð.137

Q4. What are the procedures for routine review and analysis of NOTAMs, security warnings and airspace restrictions for adjacent flight information regions (FIRs) to ensure civil aircraft security?

Answer:
The process conforms to ICAO rules.
Responsible:
Federal State Unitary Enterprise “State Air Traffic Management Corporation of the Russian Federation.”
References:
Federal Rules on the Use of the Air Space of the Russian
Federation approved by Order of the Government of the
Russian Federation No. 138 of 11 March 2010.
Federal Aviation Rules “Organization of Planning the Use
of Airspace of the Russian Federation” approved by Order
of the Ministry of Transport of the Russian Federation No.
6 of 16 January 2012.
Process and timeline:
Coordination of airspace use is carried out in order to ensure the activity declared by airspace users depending on
the evolving air, meteorological, air navigation situation
and in accordance with state priorities in airspace use.
Strategic, pre-tactical and tactical (current) planning
of airspace use, as well as coordination of airspace use is
based on information:
• reports on plans (schedules, timing) of airspace use,
including reports on plans for international and domestic flights of aircraft on air traffic service routes,
flights of aircraft outside air traffic service routes and
use of restricted areas;
• on permissions (issued by corresponding federal
executive bodies) for international flights and on
cancellation of such permissions;
• on prohibitions and restrictions on the use of
airspace;
• on permissions to use airspace in prohibited zones
and restricted zones from persons in whose interests

such zones are established, and on cancellation of
such permissions;
• on the movement of aircraft in airspace;
• on the beginning and end of activities related to the
use of airspace that are not related to the performance
of flights by aircraft.
Actual implementation:
Describe what civil aviation security threat information
was identified by which authority based on the
NOTAMs, security warnings and airspace restrictions
for adjacent fight information regions FIRs.
When planning the use of airspace, Ukraine’s NOTAM
restrictions on the use of flight levels for flights on air
routes entering the airspace of the Russian Federation
were applied. There were no other warnings on aviation
security from Ukraine.
The proximity of possible flight altitudes of Ukrainian military aircraft (according to Ukraine’s NOTAMs
1492/14 and 1493/14) up to level 320 (for example, for
flight MH17 at level 330) was a sufficient reason for the
aviation authorities of Ukraine to close the airspace over
the armed conflict zone.
The threats to air traffic safety in the Rostov-on-Don
FIR originated from hazardous activities in the area of responsibility of the adjacent FIR of Dnepropetrovsk. There
were no armed conflicts in the flight information region
(FIR) of Rostov-on-Don. Based on the available reliable
information, the Russian side issued NOTAMs V6158/14
and A2681/14 to ensure flight safety in the Rostov-onDon FIR.
Changes after 17 July 2014:
NOTAMs V6158/14 and A2681/14 were issued for the
reasons indicated in the answer to question Q2.

143

Ñòð.138

Q5. What is the process for deciding on the source credibility and for verifying information, including information on capability of attack and intent to attack, relative to an active armed conflict that could impact civil aviation?

Answer:
The Russian Federation used the information of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs for NOTAMs V6158/14
and A2681/14.
Responsible:
Federal Air Transport Agency (Rosaviatsiya).
References:
Instructions for the development, establishment, introduction and removal of temporary and local regimes, as well
as short-term restrictions, approved by Order of the Ministry of Transport of Russia No. 171 dated June 27, 2011.
Joint Order of Federal Air Navigation Agency (Rosaeronavigatsya) and the Ministry of Transport of Russia No.
139/202 “On the organization of activities to issue notices to
aviation personnel (NOTAM)” dated December 29, 2007.
Manual Concerning Safety Measures Relating to Military
Activities Potentially Hazardous to Civil Aircraft Operations, ICAO Document No. 9554, First Edition 1990.
Process and timeline:
The texts of statements by the Russian Ministry of Foreign
Affairs: No. 1570 of June 28, 2014, No. 1678 of July 10,
2014, and No. 1688 of July 13, 2014 were published on the
Russian Foreign Ministry official website.

Actual implementation:
How was the security threat information verified, the
source judged for credibility, and by what authority /
organization? What were the results of the credibility
decision and the verification?
Rosaviatsiya has no reason to doubt the reliability of the
information officially published by the Russian Ministry
of Foreign Affairs, which was used to issue NOTAMs in
accordance with ICAO rules.
Changes after 17 July 2014:
The initiative to issue NOTAMs V6158/14 and A2681/14
concerning the Rostov-on-Don FIR came on July 12, 2014
from the Rosaviatsiya Southern Interregional Territorial
Administration (responsible for the Rostov-on-Don FIR)
due to the aggravated situation in the areas bordering
on Ukraine, the use of various types of weapons by the
Ukrainian armed forces (statements by the Russian MFA
No. 1570 of June 28, 2014, No. 1678 of July 10, 2014, and
No. 1688 of July 13, 2014).

144

Ñòð.139

Q6. What are the determining risk factors for unintentional attack that may not allow civil aviation to fly over a
conflict zone? For example, scale of the conflict, military air transport or air combat activities, previous attacks
against aircraft, level of training and experience of SAM operators, level of robustness of command and control
mechanism for authorizing launch, civil aviation flight proximity to strategic assets, technical capability of SAMs
to distinguish between civil and military aircraft.

Answer:
Threats to air traffic safety in the Rostov-on-Don FIR
stemmed from the dangerous activities in the area of responsibility of the adjacent Dnepropetrovsk FIR, where an
armed conflict was taking place, which required coordination of the relevant Ukrainian authorities.
Information, including official one, about the presence
of a certain type of weapons in the conflict zone, as well as
incidents with the use of these weapons, should have been
considered sufficient by Ukraine to make decisions.
For making decisions, the procedures described in
ICAO documents, including Document No. 9554, should
be used.
Consistent adherence by Ukraine to ICAO rules (in
force at the time of the crash) would have allowed the
aviation authorities of Ukraine to come to a decision on
the need to stop civil aviation flights over the conflict zone
and avoid the crash of Flight MH17.
Responsible:
The state responsible for compliance with the rules for
the introduction of restrictions on the use of airspace
over an armed conflict zone (Ukraine, in relation to the
Flight MH17 crash).
References:
Manual Concerning Safety Measures Relating to Military
Activities Potentially Hazardous to Civil Aircraft Operations, ICAO Document No. 9554, First Edition 1990.
Civil/Military Cooperation in Air Traffic Management,
ICAO Circular No. 330.
Process and timeline
All possible risk factors for an unintended attack should
be considered. ICAO instruments require interoperability
between military and civilian authorities. States should
undertake preparatory measures as necessary to ensure
that contingencies are dealt with in a timely manner.
Such preparations should include an assessment of the
risk to civil aircraft operations due to a military conflict

or incidents of unlawful interference with civil aviation.
Preparatory activities should include the development of
special contingency plans for military conflicts or acts of
unlawful interference with civil aviation that may affect
the use of airspace for civil aircraft and/or the provision of
air traffic and support services.
ICAO documents state that, whatever the circumstances
of a crisis, the development of contingency plans would
greatly contribute to an increased level of coordination
between civilian and military bodies.
The first step in the normal coordination process is
transmission or delivery of a message detailing the proposed activity to the appropriate authority or ATM units.
This message should describe the nature of the activity, geographical area(s) affected, including its/their horizontal
and vertical dimensions, the anticipated date(s), start time
and duration of the activity, any special security measures to be undertaken when necessary; and the means
and methods of coordination between the military units
involved and ATM units concerned, including the use of
radio communications.
Where feasible, a flight level should be established at or
above which civil aircraft can continue to operate normally without being exposed to hazards. In areas where
most civil aircraft will be in the en-route phase, this flight
level should ideally be at or below the lowest cruise level
normally used.
Actual implementation:
Describe what risk factors for unintentional attack
were identified by what authority / organization. See
examples of risk factors listed in Q6.
The aviation authorities of Ukraine had to adhere to the
procedures described, in particular, in ICAO documents.
Information on the reasons for and process of deciding
to issue NOTAMs V6158/14 and A2681/14 is contained in
the answer to questions Q5 and Q12.
Changes after 17 July 2014:
There were no changes.

145

Ñòð.140

Q7. What organizations are involved, how do they coordinate, and what is the process for determining acceptable security risk levels in civil aviation airspace over a conflict zone?

Note: These are general security level targets to be met if specified, that are not specific to an event or situation.

Answer:
The process should be in conformity with ICAO regulations, including ICAO Document 9554.
The Russian Federation used the information of
the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs for NOTAMs
V6158/14 and A2681/14.
There were no armed conflicts in the Rostov-on-Don
flight information region (FIR). The armed clashes took
place on the territory of Ukraine.
Responsible:
Authorized bodies of the State on whose territory an
armed conflict has arisen (Ukraine, in relation to the
Flight MH17 crash).
References:
Manual Concerning Safety Measures Relating to Military
Activities Potentially Hazardous to Civil Aircraft Operations, ICAO Document No. 9554, First Edition 1990.
Civil/Military Cooperation in Air Traffic Management,
ICAO Circular No. 330.
Process and timeline:
Responsibility for initiating the coordination process lies
with the State on whose territory an armed conflict is
taking place. States providing air traffic management in
conflict-affected airspace are responsible for taking special

measures to ensure the safety of international operation
of civil aircraft, even when coordination has not been
initiated or completed. Based on the information available,
the State responsible for air traffic management should
define the geographic area of the conflict, assess the hazard or potential hazard to the international operation of
civil aircraft, and determine whether flights in or over the
conflict area should be avoided or may continue subject to
certain conditions. Then an international NOTAM should
be issued containing the necessary information, recommendations and security measures to be taken; it should
be updated subsequently to follow the developments.
Actual implementation:
Describe what organisations determined the acceptable
security risk levels for civil aircraft. How this was
determined and what were the determined acceptable
security levels?
There were no armed conflicts within the Rostov-on-Don
FIR. NOTAMs V6158/14 and A2681/14 with restrictions
on the use of the airspace of the Rostov-on-Don FIR were
issued due to the hostilities on the territory of Ukraine
near the state border with the Russian Federation, as well
as the shelling of Russian territory from the territory of
Ukraine.
Changes after 17 July 2014:
There were no changes in the Russian regulations.

146

Ñòð.141

Q8. What is the process of determining how civil aviation can be affected based on threat information in a conflict zone? For example, what part of the airspace, what altitudes or types of aircraft?

Answer:
The process must be in conformity with ICAO regulations, including Document No. 9554.
Responsible:
Competent authorities and airspace users exchanging
information related to aviation safety.
References:
Aeronautical Information Services Manual, ICAO Document No. 8126, Sixth Edition, 2003.
Manual Concerning Safety Measures Relating to Military
Activities Potentially Hazardous to Civil Aircraft Operations, ICAO Document No. 9554, First Edition 1990.
Process and timeline:
Rosaviatsiya used information from the Russian Foreign
Ministry for NOTAMs V6158/14 and A2681/14.

Actual implementation:
Describe what were the impact analysis results, if
any—how civil aviation can be affected based on threat
information — what airspace, what altitudes or type of
aircraft.
NOTAMs V6158/14 and A2681/14 included a text to
explain the reason for issuing the NOTAM, “Due to the
hostilities ongoing on the territory of Ukraine near the
state border with the Russian Federation, as well as the
shelling of Russian territory from the territory of Ukraine,”
and their scope was also defined.
Changes after 17 July 2014:
Based on the available reliable information, the Russian
side issued NOTAMs V6158/14 and A2681/14 to ensure
flight safety in the Rostov-on-Don FIR.

147

Ñòð.142

Q9. What analysis methodology or risk matrix is used to assess the likelihood of a threat presenting itself and the potential consequences for civil aircraft flying over the conflict zone?

Answer:
The process should be in line with ICAO rules, including
document No. 9554.
The armed conflict took place on the territory of
Ukraine, so it is not known how the Ukrainian authorities
conducted the relevant analysis and risk assessment.
Responsible:
Competent authorities of the State on the territory of
which the armed conflict took place (Ukraine, in relation
to Flight MH17 plane crash).
References:
Aeronautical Information Services Manual, ICAO document No. 8126, Sixth Edition — 2003.
Manual Concerning Safety Measures Relating to Military Activities Potentially Hazardous to Civil Aircraft

Operations, ICAO document No. 9554, First Edition
— 1990.
Process and timeline:
See the answers to Q7 and Q8.
Actual implementation:
Describe if and how risk was assessed and what levels of
security risk were determined for what airspace, what
altitudes or what type of aircraft.
See the answers to Q7 and Q8.
Changes after 17 July 2014:
Information on the reasons for and the decision process of
releasing NOTAMs V6158/14 and A2681/14 can be found
in the answers to question Q5 and Q12.

148

Ñòð.143

Q10. What is the process to determine security mitigations that would permit civil aviation to overfly a conflict zone?

Answer:
The process should be in line with ICAO rules, including
document No. 9554.
Responsible:
Competent authorities and airspace users exchanging
information related to aviation security.
References:
Aeronautical Information Services Manual, ICAO document No. 8126, Sixth Edition — 2003.
Manual Concerning Safety Measures Relating to Military
Activities Potentially Hazardous to Civil Aircraft Operations, ICAO document No. 9554, First Edition — 1990.

Actual implementation:
Describe if and what security mitigations were determined that would permit civil aviation to overfly the
conflict zone.
See answers to Q7, Q8 and Q9.
Changes after 17 July 2014:
Information on the reasons for and the decision process of
releasing NOTAMs V6158/14 and A2681/14 can be found
in the answers to question Q5 and Q12.

149

Ñòð.144

Q11. What are your normal (not during conflict) criteria for establishing restriction or segregation of airspace and what are the coordination procedures both internally and externally?

Answer:
The process is in line with ICAO rules.
Responsible:
• Rosaviatsiya
• Federal State Unitary Enterprise “State Air Traffic
Management Corporation of the Russian Federation”
• A user of airspace whose activity poses a threat to the
safety of airspace use.
References:
Federal Law No. 60-FZ, “The Aviation Code of the Russian Federation” of March 19, 1997.
Chapter VI, “Prohibition or restriction of the use of
airspace” of the Federal Rules on the Use of the Air Space
of the Russian Federation approved by the Decree of the
Government of the Russian Federation No. 138 of March
11, 2010.
Federal Aviation Regulations, “Organization of Planning
the Use of Airspace of the Russian Federation” approved
by Order of the Ministry of Transport of Russia No. 6
dated January 16, 2012.
Guidelines for the development, establishment, introduction and removal of temporary and local regimes, as well
as short-term restrictions, approved by Order of the Ministry of Transport of Russia No. 171 dated June 27, 2011.
Joint order of Rosaeronavigation and the Ministry of
Transport of Russia from No. 139/202 “On the Organization of activity on publication of notices for the aviation
personnel (NOTAM)” dated December 29, 2007.
Process and timeline:
Organization of the use of airspace provides for safe,
cost-effective and regular air traffic, as well as other activities to use airspace. The organization of the use of airspace
is carried out by the authorized body in the field of airspace
use, the authorities of the unified system of air traffic management, as well as bodies of users of airspace — air traffic

service (flight management) in the designated zones and
areas. The use of airspace or certain areas thereof may be
prohibited or restricted.
If there is a need to use airspace by two or more airspace
users at the same time, prohibition or restriction of their
activities in certain areas of the airspace of the Russian
Federation in accordance with state priorities in the use of
airspace is established by introducing temporary and local
regimes, as well as short-term restrictions.
Submissions for the establishment of temporary and
local regimes shall be submitted by users of airspace via
the aircraft terrestrial data transmission network and
telegraph messages or in hard copy, including facsimile
communication to the relevant centers of the Unified System. The submissions shall provide reliable and complete
information on the planned activities to use airspace.
The terms are determined by the Guidelines for the
development, establishment, introduction and removal of
temporary and local regimes, as well as short-term restrictions, approved by Order of the Ministry of Transport of
Russia No. 171 dated June 27, 2011.
The coordination of the use of airspace ensures efficient
and flexible use and includes:
• ensuring the safety of airspace use in case of changes
in the air, meteorological and aeronautical environment through the implementation of the authorities
of the Unified System centers on air space redistribution in accordance with the state priorities;
• timely introduction and removal of bans and restrictions in the optimal airspace related to temporary and
local regimes, as well as short-term restrictions;
• providing an opportunity to use the airspace of restricted areas, the validity of which is limited by time
period.
Actual implementation:
Not applicable—no answer required.
Changes after 17 July 2014:
There were no changes to the regulatory documents

150

Ñòð.145

Q12. What are the decision processes for security of airspace, including establishing restriction or segregation of airspace in a conflict zone? What are the ANSP and military coordination procedures for active civil flights and their safety?

Answer:
The process is in line with ICAO rules.
There were no armed conflicts in the Rostov-on-Don
Flight Information Region (FIR).
Responsible:
• Rosaviatsiya
• Federal State Unitary Enterprise “State Air Traffic
Management Corporation of the Russian Federation”
• A user of airspace whose activity poses a threat to the
safety of airspace use.
References:
Federal Law No. 60-FZ “The Aviation Code of the Russian
Federation” of March 19, 1997.
Chapter VI “Prohibition or restriction of the use of
airspace” of the Federal Rules on the Use of the Air Space
of the Russian Federation approved by the Decree of the
Government of the Russian Federation No. 138 of March
11, 2010.
Federal Aviation Regulations “Organization of Planning
the Use of Airspace of the Russian Federation” approved
by Order of the Ministry of Transport of Russia No. 6
dated January 16, 2012.
Guidelines for the development, establishment, introduction and removal of temporary and local regimes, as well
as short-term restrictions, approved by Order of the Ministry of Transport of Russia No. 171 dated June 27, 2011.
Joint order of Rosaeronavigation and the Ministry of
Transport of Russia from No. 139/202 “On the Organization of activity on publication of notices for the aviation
personnel (NOTAM)” dated December 29, 2007.
Manual Concerning Safety Measures Relating to Military
Activities Potentially Hazardous to Civil Aircraft Operations, ICAO document No. 9554, First Edition — 1990.
Process and timeline:
The process has no differences from the one specified in
the answer to question Q11.
Procedures for issuing NOTAMs on changes in air
navigation data that need to be issued immediately are
further defined in the Joint order of Rosaeronavigation and the Ministry of Transport of Russia from No.
139/202 “On the Organization of activity on publication
of notices for the aviation personnel (NOTAM)” dated
December 29, 2007.

Actual implementation:
Describe who took what decisions for security
of airspace, including establishing restriction or
segregation of airspace. Describe what coordination
took place between the ANSP and military regarding
the security threats.
Since March 1, 2014 and up to the present time, there
has been no armed conflict in the Rostov-on-Don Flight
Information Region (FIR). The imposition of restrictions
(NOTAMs V6158/14 and A2681/14) on the use of part
of the airspace of the Rostov-on-Don FIR was motivated
by the reaction to hazardous activities for flights in the
neighbouring State.
The airspace above the conflict zone was above the
territory of Ukraine, therefore, decisions on flight safety should have been made by Ukrainian competent
authorities.
Based on the information which is available, the State
responsible for air traffic services should identify the geographical area of the conflict, assess the hazards or potential hazards to international civil aircraft operations, and
determine whether such operations in or through the area of
conflict should be avoided or may be continued under specified conditions. An international NOTAM containing the
necessary information, advice and security measures should
then be issued. If the necessary information is not provided
by States whose military authorities are involved in an armed
conflict, the State responsible for providing air traffic control
is advised to establish the nature and degree of hazard or potential hazard from other sources, such as aircraft operators,
IATA, IFALPA, neighbouring States or ICAO.
The initiative to issue NOTAMs V6158/14 and
A2681/14 related to the Rostov-on-Don FIR came from
the Southern Interregional Territorial Administration of
Rosaviation on July 12, 2014 due to the aggravated situation in the border areas with Ukraine, the use of various
types of weapons by the Ukrainian armed forces (statements of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia No.
1570 dated June 28, 2014, No. 1678 dated July 10, 2014,
No. 1688 dated July 13, 2014).
NOTAM should contain information on the hazard
that is the subject of the message. Based on this, a text
explaining the reason for issuing NOTAM was included in
NOTAMs V6158/14 and A2681/14: “Due to the hostilities
ongoing on the territory of Ukraine near the state border
with the Russian Federation, as well as the shelling of Russian territory from the territory of Ukraine.”
Changes after 17 July 2014:
There were no changes.


Âû çäåñü » MH17: êàê è êòî? » Ñóä » Çàêðûòèå âîçäóøíîãî ïðîñòðàíñòâà.